Saturday, October 18, 2014

Travel New Zealand for Beginners By JOE DRAPE OCT. 10, 2014


MISSION STATEMENT

As conversations of weather occurrences and suggested anomalies become more frequent and mainstream in the scientific community, as well as at the grass-roots-level, the need to embrace and index substantive information into an authoritative conduit to encourage more research and development~~~IS IMPERATIVE.

Pertinent themes as Global Warming, Climate Change, and Melting Ice Caps has stimulated discussions, seeded forums, and spawned additional research, all to foster consensus, and recommend courses-of-action. 

The intent of CLIMATE; THE CONVERSATION, is to be The Bulletin Board, The Platform, The Podium,  and The Credible Source & Bibliography for such astute, sincere, and scholarly considerations. 

Sincerely;

Administrators:

Andrew M. Marconi

Lou Marconi


This article is a bit of a departure from the usual subject-matter that is presented in this Web-Log.  The reason for this is to bring to light some of the BEAUTY that does exist in this world~~~~and could possibly BE LOST~~~~FOREVER----if we do not take preventative steps needed to assuring the sustainability of such glorious splendor, and beauty.

""""""""""""""""""""""" It had taken me three flights, two days and a white-knuckle drive up spiraling switchbacks in swirling snow to arrive at this barstool near the shore of Lake Wanaka at the foot of the Southern Alps. Business had brought me here on such short notice that I barely had had time to buy a ski jacket — a weird experience in August while wearing shorts and flip-flops — let alone do any real prep work for my journey to New Zealand.
Now I was in hiking boots and layered in fleeces far from home with a steaming bowl of fish chowder in front of me. It was noon and time to breathe deep and figure out how I was going to maximize my experience in a country that I had never given much thought.
What I knew about New Zealand could fit on a bubble gum wrapper. “The Lord of the Rings” and “The Hobbit” had been filmed here — check. The All Blacks, its national rugby team, was a global powerhouse — check 2. I also knew thrill seekers came here to jump out of gondolas and off bridges attached to a bungee cord and also relished snowboarding and skiing off ramps and in half-pipes.


The Cardrona Alpine Resort on New Zealand's South Island.


Photo


In fact, I was here to write about how elite athletes have descended on New Zealand each August for decades, transforming its South Island into a sort of extreme summer camp. None of these activities were exactly in my wheelhouse, and that was why tourism brochures were stacked between my chowder and cold beer. I was riffling them one-handed like a deck of cards when a woman appeared next to me and offered a comforting pat on my shoulder.
“Nothing to stress over, darlin’,” she said, her pointed glasses accenting a luminous smile. “Just wander the town and enjoy us. You’ll fall in love with the place, you will.”
She disappeared out the door before I could offer even a smile. But it sounded like a plan: My time was as limited as my local knowledge, and surrendering to a strange land, indeed, might be good for the soul.

She disappeared out the door before I could offer even a smile. But it sounded like a plan: My time was as limited as my local knowledge, and surrendering to a strange land, indeed, might be good for the soul.
I had 72 hours to get the flavor of a place that I was neither particularly suited for nor would have necessarily chosen as a destination on my own.
No one will ever mistake me for Bear Grylls, and I know that the Wild is going to beat this Man every time. Still, in a couple of days I managed to discover my inner extreme athlete, contemplate magnificent nature, catch a flick in a charming art house, gorge on steak and fish and even bet a horse race or two.

 
Tourists take in the views in Wanaka, New Zealand. The resort town is situated on the country’s South Island. 

  
 Southwest of there, a bungee jumper takes the plunge near Queenstown.

 


 



Sunday, October 12, 2014

Cheap Oil At An Energy Inflection Point

 
MISSION STATEMENT

As conversations of weather occurrences and suggested anomalies become more frequent and mainstream in the scientific community, as well as at the grass-roots-level, the need to embrace and index substantive information into an authoritative conduit to encourage more research and development~~~IS IMPERATIVE.

Pertinent themes as Global Warming, Climate Change, and Melting Ice Caps has stimulated discussions, seeded forums, and spawned additional research, all to foster consensus, and recommend courses-of-action. 

The intent of CLIMATE; THE CONVERSATION, is to be The Bulletin Board, The Platform, The Podium,  and The Credible Source & Bibliography for such astute, sincere, and scholarly considerations. 

Sincerely;

Administrators:

Andrew M. Marconi

Lou Marconi


 Despite the Middle East crisis and Russian tensions, world oil prices are plummeting. We’ll look at why and what it means for rising clean energy.

 

Oil prices worldwide are plummeting.  The US benchmark price down nearly 25 percent since June.  Went below $90 a barrel this month for the first time in a long time.  You’d think oil would be going the other way.  We’ve got crisis in the Middle East.  Crackling tensions with energy giant Russia.  But no.  It’s way down.  The “why” of that is fascinating.  So are the implications.  It’s rough on Russia, Iran, Iraq, Venezuela.  And, if it goes further, rough on American hydraulic-fracturing.  And on solar and wind power.  This hour On Point:  Oil’s price swoon, and what it means.
– Tom Ashbrook


Guests

Nicole Friedman, energy markets reporter for The Wall Street Journal. (@NicoleFriedman)
Michael Levi, senior fellow for energy and the environment and director of the Center for Geo-economic Studies at the Council on Foreign Relations. Author of “The Power Surge: Energy, Opportunity and the Battle for America’s Future.” Co-author of “By All Means Necessary” and “The Future of Arms Control.” (@levi_m)
Nathanael Greene, director of renewable energy policy and the energy and transportation program at the National Resources Defense Council. (@NRDCRenewables)

From Tom’s Reading List

The Wall Street Journal: Oil Prices Weaken Further on Storage Data — “The U.S. was a bright spot for demand this summer, because refineries ran at unusually high rates to profit from cost-advantaged domestic crude. However, refineries typically run at lower rates in September and October as refiners shut units to perform seasonal maintenance.”
Washington Post: Oil prices are falling — and that’s good for the U.S. and bad for Russia — “The drop in prices is providing a boost to the U.S. economy and U.S. consumers, but it could put a dent in revenues in countries such as Russia, Iran, and Iraq, where oil exports play an enormously important role in supporting economic growth and government finances. Europe, meanwhile, is only partially benefiting from the decline in prices because the euro has been weakening, making it relatively more expensive for Europeans to purchase oil, which is priced in dollars.”
Vox: Oil prices are plummeting. Here’s why that’s a big deal — “If oil prices keep falling, that could have plenty of far-reaching effects. OPEC is already fighting bitterly over how to respond. Russia, a major oil producer, could see its economy crippled if prices decline.Some shale oil producers in North Dakota and Texas may find it unprofitable to keep drilling. And lower gas prices could bolster the US economy (though it would also curtail the recent drive for energy-efficient vehicles).”


Oil Prices Decline as Supplies Build

Published: Oct 08, 2014
By Nicole Friedman

Oil prices slid Wednesday after weekly storage data showed that U.S. stockpiles grew more than expected last week, as imports rose and refineries processed less crude.

U.S. oil prices have now fallen 21% from a peak reached in September 2013, meeting the definition of a bear market. Brent, the global benchmark, has been in a bear market since Sept. 30.

Crude-oil stockpiles climbed by 5 million barrels to 361.65 million barrels in the week ended Oct. 3, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration. Analysts surveyed by The Wall Street Journal had expected stocks to rise by 1.9 million barrels on the week. Imports rose by 428,000 barrels a day to 7.7 million barrels a day.

Global and U.S. oil prices have been sliding for months amid high global supplies and lackluster demand.

The U.S. was a bright spot for demand this summer, because refineries ran at unusually high rates to profit from relatively cheap domestic crude. However, refineries typically run at lower rates in September and October as refiners shut units to perform seasonal maintenance.

"The oil inventory raised concerns about weak demand," said Phil Flynn, analyst at the Price Futures Group in Chicago. "There's a sense that there's not a lot that anybody can do about it in the short term."

Light, sweet crude for November delivery slid $1.54, or 1.7%, to $87.31 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, the lowest level since April 17, 2013.

Brent settled down 73 cents, or 0.8%, at $91.38 a barrel on ICE Futures Europe, the lowest settlement price since June 28, 2012.

Brent prices are down 21% from their mid-June high.

The sustained drop in oil prices has sparked concern among market participants that U.S. shale-oil drillers could pull back on new investment if prices fall too low. However, Fitch Ratings said Wednesday that shale-oil producers won't respond until Brent prices fell below $80 a barrel.

"We think we're in a sweet spot for supply at the moment," said Alex Griffiths, managing director at Fitch, in an interview. "We think that $80 is where you start seeing some deceleration of drilling new shale wells."

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries said Wednesday that the average price of its members' crude stood at $89.37 a barrel, compared with $90.40 the previous day. The OPEC basket hasn't fallen below $90 a barrel since June 2012.

Gasoline stockpiles rose by 1.2 million barrels to 209.7 million barrels. Analysts had predicted stockpiles would decline by 900,000 barrels.

November reformulated gasoline blendstock, or RBOB, slumped 4.99 cents, or 2.1%, to $2.3184 a gallon, the lowest price since Dec. 17, 2010.

Distillate stocks, which include heating oil and diesel fuel, rose by 439,000 barrels to 126.1 million barrels. Analysts had expected a 1.2 million-barrel weekly decrease.

November diesel slipped 3.14 cents, or 1.2%, to $2.5759 a gallon, the lowest price since June 2012.

Refining capacity utilization fell less than expected, to 89.3%. Analysts had expected the operating rate to fall by 0.7 percentage point in the week.

Write to Nicole Friedman at nicole.friedman@wsj.com 


Being at the TIPPING-POINT that these actions are having,  it becomes necessary to access their impacts and once having recognized the negative affects on the environment, the land that we are farming, our commercial and industrial endeavors, the atmosphere that we are breathing, it is critical to recognize that WE MUST REVERSE THESE TRENDS. Then, given the time and place to implement actions and practices to have a cause-and-effect impact in a positive way, we should encourage and influence implementation, and at least retard further deterioration of our environment and our climate.  On a larger scale, reversing the trends of deterioration should always be----the ultimate objective.  

Its impact on the economy, pollution, and the focus on Climate; The Conversation---makes this worthy of continued enthusiasm and consideration

Lou Marconi (SuiteLou0819)



ReTree The District


 
MISSION STATEMENT

As conversations of weather occurrences and suggested anomalies become more frequent and mainstream in the scientific community, as well as at the grass-roots-level, the need to embrace and index substantive information into an authoritative conduit to encourage more research and development~~~IS IMPERATIVE.

Pertinent themes as Global Warming, Climate Change, and Melting Ice Caps has stimulated discussions, seeded forums, and spawned additional research, all to foster consensus, and recommend courses-of-action. 

The intent of CLIMATE; THE CONVERSATION, is to be The Bulletin Board, The Platform, The Podium,  and The Credible Source & Bibliography for such astute, sincere, and scholarly considerations. 

Sincerely;

Administrators:

Andrew M. Marconi

Lou Marconi

ReTree The District~~~Two-Years---1,000 Trees---500  Volunteers---15+ Community Groups---One District.

A group of University District community stakeholders are coming together around ReTree the District, a project aiming to plant 1,000 trees across the University District over the next two years. ReTree the District is using an interactive community mapping component that has enabled students and residents to collaboratively map the district’s existing tree canopy. In addition to beautification, the project will help foster collaboration and cooperation across the many neighborhoods that make up the University District.

 Given the time, the effort, and the place to implement actions and practices----even on the smallest of ratio & proportion scales,  such directives will have a cause-and-effect relationship, and inherently aspire to impact a community in a positive way.  This  will have a domino-effect influence on implementations in other areas.  Such an evolution to a grander-scale; a mainstream mind-set will not only retard further deterioration of our environment and our climate, but will usher in patterns and practices which will obverse a reclamation and revitalization of our ecological niches and our environment.  On the broader scale, reversing the trends of deterioration should always be----the ultimate objective.  

Its impact on the economy, pollution, and the focus on Climate; The Conversation---makes this worthy of continued enthusiasm and consideration

Lou Marconi (SuiteLou0819)


Sunday, October 5, 2014

Energy/Environment Cover Story: Fracking in the US: The story of one man's oil well ~~~~


MISSION STATEMENT

As conversations of weather occurrences and suggested anomalies become more frequent and mainstream in the scientific community, as well as at the grass-roots-level, the need to embrace and index substantive information into an authoritative conduit to encourage more research and development~~~IS IMPERATIVE.

Pertinent themes as Global Warming, Climate Change, and Melting Ice Caps has stimulated discussions, seeded forums, and spawned additional research, all to foster consensus, and recommend courses-of-action. 

The intent of CLIMATE; THE CONVERSATION, is to be The Bulletin Board, The Platform, The Podium,  and The Credible Source & Bibliography for such astute, sincere, and scholarly considerations. 

Sincerely;

Administrators:

Andrew M. Marconi

Lou Marconi




Cover Story

  Hydraulic Fracturing in the US: The story of one man's oil well

"""""A writer from liberal Massachusetts goes to Texas to deal with a family oil well. What he learned about fracking, salt domes, and America's energy future. 

By , Contributor

East Texas between Houston and Galveston is a low flat land of cayenne-pepper heat coming off the tepid waters of Galveston Bay. The cries of laughing gulls and great-tailed grackles fill the salty air, and the silhouettes of vultures circle overhead. Donkey-head oil wells and offshore rigs moored opposite shrimp boats in the bay remind me that, despite a scattering of wind turbines and solar panels, the United States still remains firmly anchored in the Petroleum Age.

That may be fortuitous for me, since I’m here to check out an oil well I’ve owned since I was in college. The site lies in a landscape of former horse farms and pear orchards on the Gulf Freeway, which runs between the two cities.

I’ve come to Texas to answer a simple question: What should I do with the mineral rights beneath the well – hang onto them and keep getting my small royalty check each month? Or sell them to one of many wildcat suitors I’ve had in recent months, most of whom want to “frack” the well?

Like many Americans, I’ve followed the debate over fracking from a distance and am fairly familiar with the arguments on both sides. The technology, which uses prodigious amounts of pressurized water laced with chemicals to break shale rock and liberate entombed oil and gas, is either going to help the US achieve one of the most elusive goals in modern history – to become energy independent – or unleash a host of new environmental problems. Or it may turn out to be something in between. 
That’s what I’m here in east Texas to decide – what my tiny role should be in the nation’s grand debate over its energy future.

My decision is complicated by one other factor. I’m a science writer from a famously liberal state, Massachusetts, trying to figure out what to do with my well in a famously conservative state, Texas. In Massachusetts, we post “frog crossing” signs at every vernal pool. In Texas, they post “pipeline crossing” signs at almost every intersection. How will this clash of values play out in my decision making? 


 
 
 
Graphic How carbon dioxide flooding works
 
 As often happens when things are examined up close, my journey through the Texas lowlands and the nation’s divisive energy debate brought some surprising twists – and, for me, an unexpected conclusion.
 
CHAPTER 1: From earth shoes to ‘T. Boone’ Sargent 

I became an oil well owner in 1968, at the age of 22. 
It was just before Neil Armstrong put his boot print on the moon and college campuses erupted in protest over the Vietnam War.
My father happened to be running for governor as a Republican and a liberal environmentalist, perhaps something you could do only in Massachusetts. He would end up turning the state away from building highways toward building more public transportation. He would give the country’s first Earth Day speech at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology in 1970. 
But in 1968, when he was seeking office, he had to divest himself of many holdings, including an oil well, to avoid conflicts of interest. So he gave my sisters and me part ownership of the well that he had bought from an old Army buddy in Houston.    
Now that might sound pretty grand, to say you owned an oil well in Texas. But it was a modest distinction: The well had been in operation for years and was now only producing a trickle. It was only pumping enough oil to pay each of us $28 a month.
It also wasn’t that unusual at the time to own an oil well. Many Americans did. In fact, one factor driving energy development in the US over the decades has been the practice of private ownership of mineral rights. In many other parts of the world – Europe, for instance – the government owns the rights to oil, gas, and other resources under the ground and controls development through licensing agreements. Here, oil companies – big and small – can deal directly with people who own the booty, which tends to encourage entrepreneurialism and development, for better and worse. 
I also just found my well a wonderfully tangible investment. I liked thinking of it faithfully bobbing up and down in East Texas as I went about writing environmental books, some of which even bashed big oil. 
Then, in 1973, I started receiving letters from Exxon explaining that the company planned to “unitize” our oil field. This meant that we would be paid a percentage of what the entire oil field produced rather than what was being pumped out of our individual well. 
But it was a tricky proposition. They would have to inject pressurized fluids into the ground to draw out the residual oil. It could result in us earning even less than we had been making before. Given the risks, the company offered to buy me and my siblings out for $5,000 each. 
My sisters were elated. One bought a horse with the money; the other put an addition on her house. I figured that if Exxon wanted our well so badly they had to know something I didn’t, so I hung on to my share. The royalties plunged to about $10 a month. 
I was beginning to feel less like J.R. Ewing and more like Cliff Barnes, the dupe who was always getting outfoxed by the Ewings. But time passed and oil technology progressed until, a few months ago, I started receiving letters and phone calls again. This time they were from small wildcatters who wanted to use newer techniques to siphon the remaining oil out of the field, which they were now calling the Webster tract. In some cases they were sending checks offering to buy out my share of the royalties. 
Was fracking knocking on my wellhead?

CHAPTER 2: What was this money in my mailbox?  

As the oilmen explained it, primary production had drawn 30 to 40 percent of the oil out of the Webster field. 
Secondary production had brought up another 20 percent. But at least 20 percent more was still lying below the Texas sod, which they believed they could now recover. 
It would have been easy for me to simply cash one of the $6,000 checks that were showing up in my mailbox. Yet once again I was curious what the wily Texans knew that this callow Easterner didn’t.  
I had read most of the environmental literature about the effects of fracking, which included some scary stuff: how it could contaminate ground water, contribute to air pollution, create waste-water issues, and, in theory, even cause some people’s tap water to become flammable.
But I had also noticed what fracking had done for energy prices: how natural gas prices had remained low for several years, saving consumers huge amounts on their heating and electric bills.
I had watched as a city near us, Salem, Mass., decided to replace its old coal-fired power plant with a new gas-fired one, thanks to the abundant supplies from fracking. More broadly, I understood that many people believe natural gas can be a bridge to get us from an economy based on our dwindling supplies of oil to one based on wind, solar, and hydrogen energy. 
But did I really think my well was going to help usher in energy independence by 2016, or just more of the same old environmental problems?
I needed to do some more sleuthing. First I clicked on Google Earth to locate the Webster tract. It consisted of about a dozen wells just north of the town of Webster, an aerospace hub of 10,500 people 20 miles southeast of Houston.
I wondered what all those people thought about having oil wells near their homes – wells that might sully their drinking water but might also be worth millions of dollars. So I checked online.
I discovered that Texas has a 100-year history of derricks and drill rigs coexisting beside homes and farms. Cities like Fort Worth, Dallas, and Houston boomed because of the black gold often sitting in subterranean vaults directly below their streets.
As a result, I expected to find unconditional support for oil and gas extraction, and people eager to buy into the latest energy boom. Instead I found that Texas is having many of the same debates as the rest of the country. 
A North Texas family was awarded $3 million in April in a landmark lawsuit against a natural-gas company whose fracking operations, they argued, had made them sick and killed some of their ranch animals. In Denton, just north of Dallas, the city was putting a referendum on its November ballot that would ban fracking altogether. But most of the articles were more nuanced, reflecting the state’s long history of energy exploration and innovation and, yes, its growing use of renewables (Texas has more wind turbines than any state except California). 
In 1981, Mitchell Energy, a Texas company, was the first to drill horizontally to reach the Barnett shale formation beneath Fort Worth. It also used a “slick-water frack” – adding friction-reducing chemicals to the well water to allow it to flow at a higher rate. By combining the two technologies, they could dramatically increase the amount of gas that could be retrieved from shale rock. 
When the price of natural gas rose above the equivalent of $90 a barrel for oil in the late 1990s, these two technologies, coupled with other innovations, helped trigger a nationwide fracking boom – one that extends from the Bakken formation in North Dakota to the Marcellus formation in Pennsylvania to many other parts of the country. 
Today, the Newark East Field underlying the Barnett formation continues to be the largest producer in Texas, accounting for 30 percent of all the natural gas produced in the state. Because it is so big and was the first field to be exploited, the early frackers made mistakes and garnered their share of environmental critics.  
But I also found an online forum for land and royalty owners above the Haynesville shale formation, which covers 9,000 square miles in East Texas, northwestern Louisiana, and southwestern Arkansas. It is conservatively estimated to hold 29 trillion cubic feet of natural gas and to be worth several billion dollars. 
The website demonstrates a new determination to get things right. Its introduction reads, “What makes this site so great? Well I think it’s the fact that, quite frankly, we all have a lot at stake in this thing they call shale.... Our farm has been in our family for over 80 years. As exciting as this shale is, we know that we have a responsibility to do this thing correctly.” 
But when I started calling around I found that things were even more interesting. Exxon Mobil had sold the Webster tract to Denbury Resources in Plano, Texas. I called the head of owner relations, Jack Collins. I asked him when the company planned to start fracking my well. He replied, by e-mail, “We have no plans to frack Webster field, but we do plan to commence a CO2 flood of the field next year.”
He explained that Denbury owned a source of natural carbon dioxide underneath a salt dome in Mississippi. The company was extending a pipeline from Mississippi to Texas, and, when it arrived, it would start pumping natural carbon dioxide into the oil field.
With fracking, fluids are forced into the wellhead to break up the shale rock and free the trapped gas. With CO2 flooding, carbon dioxide is pumped into the well and adheres to the droplets of oil in the shale. It’s a little like mixing turpentine with paint: The oil droplets swell and become thinner so they can be pumped out. 
In 2015, Denbury planned to substitute this natural carbon dioxide with “man-made” CO2 emissions from a new power plant being built in Mississippi. After the oil is extracted, the company  intends to leave the remaining carbon dioxide underground where it cannot contribute to global warming. The federal government will provide the power plant with a grant to participate in the project. 
Mr. Collins sent me some literature that pointed out that the amount of US carbon emissions had dropped in four out of the past seven years because of power plants switching from coal to natural gas. It noted that a plant in Saskatchewan planned to sequester the same amount of carbon dioxide as would be produced by 500,000 automobiles.
I began to wonder: Had I serendipitously become an investor in an energy company that is doing carbon sequestration and oil extraction right?    
There had to be a catch. I decided to fly down to Texas, to snoop around a bit more.  

CHAPTER 3: A shaker of salt and co2  

 I found the Webster tract sitting on both sides of the Gulf Freeway, not far from the Johnson Space Center. 
It lies in an area of upscale malls and less august malls with pawnshops, gas stations, and bail bondsmen.
The land Denbury owns is some of the least developed on the highway. There are large tracts of hardwood forests and the remains of old fruit orchards. Horses and dairy cows graze beside the capped wells of the oil field. Across the highway, towering rigs are starting to drill toward a great dome of salt thousands of feet below, where the CO2 would eventually be pumped in under pressure. 
I decided to ask several neighbors what they thought of the project. On a rainy morning, as I was having breakfast at a Waffle House, I talked to a carpenter who said he was concerned about reports of earthquakes in West Texas, where there is a lot of fracking going on. He was echoing a common concern about both fracking and CO2 flooding.
“Of course there is no way in heaven you can say they were caused by fracking, and they really didn’t do much damage,” said the man, who didn’t want his name used. “But there have never been any earthquakes there before.”
I asked another person, Weezie McKay, what she would do if a company wanted to recover gas under her house. “I would start to look for a new home,” she said without hesitating.
Eric Miller, a chemical engineer in the orchard lands of nearby Orange, had a different perspective. He said he would be thrilled if someone wanted to use carbon dioxide to get more oil out of his well. 
“This kind of thing has been done safely for years. Natural gas is a seasonal fuel used primarily to heat homes in the winter. So when they produce it in the summer they pump it back down into salt domes and store it until the prices rise in the autumn,” he explained. “The chemical industry also gets credits for pumping ethylene into salt domes, and, of course, the government stores strategic supplies of oil in some of the 500 salt domes in this part of Texas and Louisiana.”
I was discovering that there are many ways of looking at oil. Easterners tend to look at it as a messy business of booming gushers that make Texans instantly rich. But the average well isn’t a gusher but one more like mine that can produce a moderate amount of oil for several generations if the correct technology is used.   
Scientists see oil as a mineral that built up when our planet was much warmer and plankton was removing heat-trapping carbon dioxide from the ocean, then sequestering it under tons of sediments where it gradually cooked into gas and petroleum. In essence they see oil as our planet’s way of cooling itself down. The problem is that now we are putting that heat-trapping gas back into the atmosphere so fast that the natural system can’t absorb it without contributing to global warming.     
Many thoughtful environmentalists look at oil and gas differently. They see running out of oil as one of our biggest environmental problems. Despite its dirty reputation, oil is one of the cleanest fuels we have – far cleaner than coal or tar sands. In their view, we should be converting to wind and solar energy while conserving what oil is left for essential things like transportation.
Finally, most Texans still see oil as a pretty good investment that can earn a family a good income for several generations while helping build our nation’s economy.   
I like to think that using carbon dioxide to extract oil from my well will take all of these considerations into account. So now I have to decide: What should I do with the mineral rights? 

CHAPTER 4: My smaller carbon footprint 

My well is already owned by a company that is considered a leader in the field of carbon dioxide sequestration and oil extraction.
Do I think this technology is the silver bullet that will solve all our global warming problems? No. 
Do I think there are no problems associated with carbon injection? No. 
In 2011, Denbury paid a $662,500 fine when its injection system blew the cement casing out of a well in Mississippi, and carbon dioxide escaped and settled in the surrounding hollows, asphyxiating several deer and other smaller animals. Critics remain concerned about whether companies do enough to safely cap the wells so they can withstand the pressure that forces the oil out of dormant fields. 
But even wind turbines have been blamed for killing wildlife such as bald eagles. Like wind and solar, such carbon sequestering is not the complete answer, but it does seem to me to be a step in the right direction. 
In theory, my field will continue to make a modest amount of money extracting oil out of the ground without most of the problems associated with fracking for natural gas. It will sequester 4 percent more heat-trapping carbon underground than will be emitted by the pumped-out oil. This 4 percent represents the equivalent of being able to take several hundred thousand cars off the road. 
So I am curious to see how all this will play out and have decided to hang onto my well to see what happens as we pump it full of heat-trapping carbon dioxide.
I’m hopeful it will help create a world in which CO2 emissions are declining. If so, I may pass on the well to my grandchildren, as my father did to me, as a petroglyph of sorts to the Petroleum Age.


William Sargent is a consultant for the “NOVA” science series on PBS and is the author of 20 books about science and the environment. His latest book, “Islands in the Storm,” is about how barrier beach communities fared during superstorm Sandy.

Being  at the TIPPING-POINT that these actions are having,  it becomes necessary
to access their impacts and once having recognized the negative affects
on the environment, the land that we are farming, our commercial and industrial endeavors, the atmosphere that
we are breathing, it is critical to recognize that WE MUST REVERSE THESE
TRENDS. Then, given the time
and place to implement actions and practices to have a cause-and-effect
impact in a positive
way, will influence implementation, and at least retard further
deterioration of our environment and our climate.  On a larger scale,
reversing the trends of deterioration should always be----the ultimate
objective.
  

Its impact on the economy, pollution, and the focus on Climate; The
Conversation---makes this worthy of continued enthusiasm and
consideration


Lou Marconi (SuiteLou0819)


 




Landmark Fracking Study Finds No Water Pollution

Landmark Fracking Study Finds No Water Pollution: The final report from a landmark federal study on hydraulic fracturing, or fracking, found no evidence that chemicals or brine water from the gas drilling process moved upward to contaminate drinking water at a site in western Pennsylvania. The Department of Energy report, released Monday, was the first time an energy company allowed independent monitoring of a drilling site during the fracking process and for 18 months afterward. After those months of monitoring, researchers found that the chemical-laced fluids used to free gas stayed about 5,000 feet below drinking water supplies. The fracking process uses millions of gallons of high-pressure water mixed with sand and chemicals to break apart rocks rich in oil and gas.





MISSION STATEMENT

As conversations of weather occurrences and suggested anomalies become
more frequent and mainstream in the scientific community, as well as at
the grass-roots-level, the need to embrace and index substantive
information into an authoritative conduit to encourage more research and
development~~~IS IMPERATIVE.


Pertinent themes as Global Warming, Climate Change, and Melting Ice Caps
has stimulated discussions, seeded forums, and spawned additional
research, all to foster consensus, and recommend courses-of-action. 

The intent of CLIMATE; THE CONVERSATION, is to be The Bulletin Board,
The Platform, The Podium,  and The Credible Source & Bibliography
for such astute, sincere, and scholarly considerations. 

Sincerely;

Administrators:

Andrew M. Marconi

Lou Marconi


Being  at the TIPPING-POINT that these actions are having,  it becomes necessary
to access their impacts and once having recognized the negative affects
on the environment, the land that we are farming, our commercial and industrial endeavors, the atmosphere that
we are breathing, it is critical to recognize that WE MUST REVERSE THESE
TRENDS. Then, given the time
and place to implement actions and practices to have a cause-and-effect
impact in a positive
way, will influence implementation, and at least retard further
deterioration of our environment and our climate.  On a larger scale,
reversing the trends of deterioration should always be----the ultimate
objective.
  


Its impact on the economy, pollution, and the focus on Climate; The
Conversation---makes this worthy of continued enthusiasm and
consideration


Lou Marconi (SuiteLou0819)












Saturday, October 4, 2014

CLIMATE CHANGE TRIGGERS DOMINO EFFECT

MISSION STATEMENT
As conversations of weather occurrences and suggested anomalies become more frequent and mainstream in the scientific community, as well as at the grass-roots-level, the need to embrace and index substantive information into an authoritative conduit to encourage more research and development~~~IS IMPERATIVE.

Pertinent themes as Global Warming, Climate Change, and Melting Ice Caps has stimulated discussions, seeded forums, and spawned additional research, all to foster consensus, and recommend courses-of-action. 

The intent of CLIMATE; THE CONVERSATION, is to be The Bulletin Board, The Platform, The Podium,  and The Credible Source & Bibliography for such astute, sincere, and scholarly considerations. 

Sincerely;

Administrators:

Andrew M. Marconi

Lou Marconi



***********************LA PÉROUSE BAY, Manitoba — The sea ice here on the western shore of Hudson Bay breaks up each summer and leaves the polar bears swimming for shore. The image of forlorn bears on small rafts of ice has become a symbol of the dangers of climate change.
And for good reason. A warming planet means less ice coverage of the Arctic Sea, leaving the bears with less time and less ice for hunting seals. They depend on seals for their survival.
But the polar bears here have discovered a new menu option. They eat snow geese.
Because the ice is melting earlier, the bears come on shore earlier, and the timing turns out to be fortunate for them. As a strange side-effect of climate change, polar bears here now often arrive in the midst of a large snow goose summer breeding ground before the geese have hatched and fledged. And with 75,000 pairs of snow geese on the Cape Churchill peninsula — the result of a continuing goose population explosion — there is an abundant new supply of food for the bears.

Christa Mulder is studying plants to see how the Cape Churchill ecosystem is faring. Credit Michael Kirby Smith for The New York Times 
 

What’s good for the bears, however, has been devastating to the plants and the landscape, with the geese turning large swaths of tundra into barren mud. Nor does it mean that the bears are going to be O.K. in the long run.
What is clear is that this long-popular fall destination for polar bear tourism has become a case study in how climate change collides with other environmental changes at the local level and plays out in a blend of domino effects, trade-offs and offsets.
“The system is a lot more complicated than anybody thought,” said Robert H. Rockwell, who runs the Hudson Bay Project, a decades-long effort to monitor the environment.
To fully appreciate how the chain reaction plays out in La Pérouse Bay requires studying the individual links in the chain — the geese, the bears, and the plants and the land beneath them.


Tracks showing how a growing population of geese has degraded the land.


Dr. Rockwell, 68, has been counting geese in this area every summer since 1969. In the late 1970s, he started building his current camp — a few buildings surrounded by an electric bear fence. It is reachable by helicopter only from nearby Churchill.
From this vantage point, Dr. Rockwell and his team have witnessed the snow goose population swell to the point where they are harming their own nesting grounds. The number of snow geese that live and migrate in the continent’s central flyway exploded from about 1.5 million in the ’60s to about 15 million now, and many of them nest here or stop by on their way farther north.
The reason for the increase, Dr. Rockwell said, can be traced largely to Louisiana and Texas, in the coastal marshes where the geese long spent their winters feeding on spartina, also known as salt hay or salt meadow cordgrass. They then migrate north in spring to nest and raise goslings on grass and sedges and other plants in the marsh and tundra of the bay shore.
The goose population, Dr. Rockwell said, was once limited in size by its sparse winter food supply in southern states. After many of the marshes were drained for various kinds of development, “the snow geese just sort of said, well, wait a minute, what was that green stuff just north of here? And it turns out those are the rice prairies,” he said.


A warming trend leaves polar bears less ice for hunting seals. Credit Michael Kirby Smith for The New York Times 
 
 
 

Having found the rice farther north in Louisiana, the geese continued to explore and expand their winter range, finding the vast agricultural fields of the Midwest. “So a species that was once in part limited by winter habitat now has an infinite winter supply of food, and that includes the best agricultural products: corn, wheat, soybeans, canola, rapeseed, all of that,” Dr. Rockwell said.
Some snow geese now winter in Nebraska and Iowa where these crops are grown. But they keep coming to the sub-Arctic and the Arctic in the summer, following ancient habit. During Dr. Rockwell’s time here, the colony increased from 2,500 pairs to 75,000, and the birds moved as far as 20 miles inland as they ruined areas near the coast because of their eating habits.
Standing near the shore of Hudson Bay last June after a long, wet hike through bog and mire and stream and willow thicket, Dr. Rockwell surveyed the damage done by geese: acres of muddy, barren terrain — save for the bleached backbone of a bearded seal — all but devoid of vegetation. Distant booming signals that the pack ice offshore is starting to break up.
The muddy ground used to be like a lawn — “golf course quality,” he said. It is the area where the geese raised their broods after hatching.
Photo
With seals becoming scarce and questions arising about the long-term viability of polar bears on Hudson Bay, geese are being closely looked at. A total of 70 cameras are monitoring nests. Credit Michael Kirby Smith for The New York Times 
 
 
 
Snow geese graze, eating the tops of plants, and grub, pulling out plants by the roots. They have a serrated beak and a powerful neck, which means they are better able to grip and rip than their Canada geese cousins.
But geese not only eat. They are eaten. Many creatures love the eggs and goslings in particular — arctic foxes, sandhill cranes, gulls and, as it happens, polar bears.
The Early Bear Gets the Bird
The conventional view is that over all, polar bears are “food-deprived” in the summer because there is just not enough food on land to make a significant contribution to their diet. But the snow geese may have changed that, at least here.
Photo
Monitoring the rapidly rising geese population on the west shore of Hudson Bay has been Robert H. Rockwell’s job since 1969. His camp is accessible only by helicopter. Credit Michael Kirby Smith for The New York Times
By 2007, it was clear that the sea ice was melting earlier, on average, and the polar bears were often coming on shore in time to harvest the eggs from vast numbers of geese and other birds.
Dr. Rockwell, a researcher at the American Museum of Natural History, and Linda Gormezano, a graduate student he was supervising, decided to go beyond the sightings of bears eating geese and eggs. They approached the bear diet question in a scientific way.
Dr. Gormezano, who this fall began postdoctoral research at the University of Montana, specializes in noninvasive methods for monitoring the behavior of predators. In terms of diet, scientists can observe what goes in, or what goes out. With an animal like a polar bear, the second approach is more practical. They turned to polar bear feces, or scat, as it is commonly called.
Dr. Gormezano trained a Dutch shepherd named Quinoa to find polar bear scat and drove him north for several field seasons. She and Quinoa worked with Dr. Rockwell to collect and study samples of polar bear scat for several years and found that the bears were eating lots of geese. They were also eating caribou and other animals, as well as berries — anything in reach.


David Iles, a graduate student at Utah State University, who has been working at La Pérouse Bay for several years, set out cameras to observe goose nests and caught the bears in the act. He now has 40 cameras set up over a stretch of tundra. They take photographs every two minutes and shoot a burst of 30 images when an animal walks in front of the camera.
In addition to capturing photographs of bears consuming eggs last season, the cameras caught cranes, wolves, eagles and foxes eating. “Everything seems to love eggs out here,” he said.
One goose or one nest may not seem like much. But polar bears are gluttons. Dr, Rockwell described one case in which a bear ate about 1,200 eggs — of eider ducks, in this case — in four days. He said Dr. Gormezano had calculated that a clutch of four eggs would amount to 825 calories, the equivalent of one and a half Big Macs. Three hundred four-egg clutches would be 247,500 calories, or about 10 percent of a bear’s yearly nutritional needs.
Dr. Rockwell and Dr. Gormezano have published several papers on their findings.


Some other polar bear researchers reacted with dismay about how the results may be interpreted.
Steven C. Amstrup, the chief scientist of Polar Bears International, says he does not doubt that bears eat geese but questions how important that fact is. He said he worried that these findings would be taken by the public to mean that polar bears were doing fine.
“What they have established,” he said of Dr. Rockwell’s work, “is that some bears are eating some goose eggs and even geese. The important question is how many bears are doing that and what is the impact.” Studies, he said, have shown the condition of polar bears in the Western Hudson Bay is deteriorating, whatever their diet.
He added, “There is the potential for some number of polar bears to offset some of their nutritional losses by taking advantage of goose eggs.” But, he said, “It’s not reasonable to expect there’s going to be some great salvation of polar bears.”
Photo
Near the Churchill mill in Churchill, Canada. Credit Michael Kirby Smith for The New York Times
Besides, he said, the concern for the bears is long-term and global. In the future, as sea ice declines, “There’s no evidence that anything like current polar bear populations can be supported,” he said.
Setting aside for a moment what the bears’ eating eggs ultimately means for the bears, Dr. Rockwell said their eating habits would not put a real dent in the goose population, as he once hoped.
For the geese population to remain constant, a pair of geese needs to have only two surviving offspring in a lifetime of breeding. Snow geese have many chances, typically with five or six seasons of four or five eggs each. Those are good odds for maintaining a stable population.
And that puts the plants of the tundra in an uncomfortable place, between a goose and a warming trend. What that is doing to plants is what scientists at the Hudson Bay project are studying next.


The Tangled Tundra
The geese, birds, caribou and many other animals here live on plants. Those plants are facing the goose onslaught, an increase in the caribou population and swings in temperature that accompany the changing climate.
Although the tundra and marsh may look uniform and dull at first, a closer inspection shows a rich and diverse miniature forest of grasses, sedges, wildflowers, crowberries, cranberries, blueberries, cloudberries and gooseberries.
Researchers like Christa Mulder, a plant ecologist, from the University of Alaska, Fairbanks, are studying what the plants are doing to better understand how the whole ecosystem is faring. In one project, she is tagging 40 species to see how the timing of their growth is changing.
She emphasizes that although climate change brings an overall warming trend, it also is bringing increased variation in average temperatures, and the timing of the seasons.
“In some years, summer season starts very late,” she said. “Some years, it starts very early. Sometimes, the fall comes very late. Sometimes, the fall comes very early.”
And, she says, “A cold year slams plants down much harder than a warm year advances them.”
One aspect Dr. Mulder is studying is how the plants deal with this increased variability. It may be, she said, that for some plants, growth may ultimately be delayed rather than advanced because of the effect of the colder years.
One advantage Dr. Mulder has in her studies is a rich historical database.
As early as the 1700s, people associated with the Hudson Bay Company were recording the weather. By the 1930s, Churchill was connected to the south by train, and amateur and professional botanists began taking samples of plants, some of which are preserved in museum collections.
And, in the 1970s, Robert Jefferies, Dr. Rockwell’s longtime collaborator at La Pérouse Bay, was collecting plants as well. Dr. Mulder can follow the plants’ growth patterns over nearly a century, and for years to come.
That future research in La Pérouse Bay is needed, Dr. Rockwell said, because the current knowledge of how this ecosystem fits together — and how it is evolving because of climate change — is so incomplete.
“You get all these nonlinear kinds of things, which make it very hard to understand,” he said. “But it makes it more fun to study.”*************


Being at the TIPPING-POINT that these actions are having,  it becomes necessary to access their impacts and once having recognized the negative affects on the environment, the land that we are farming, our commercial and industrial endeavors, the atmosphere that we are breathing, it is critical to recognize that WE MUST REVERSE THESE TRENDS. Then, given the time and place to implement actions and practices to have a cause-and-effect impact in a positive way, will influence implementation, and at least retard further deterioration of our environment and our climate.  On a larger scale, reversing the trends of deterioration should always be----the ultimate objective.  

Its impact on the economy, pollution, and the focus on Climate; The Conversation---makes this worthy of continued enthusiasm and consideration

Lou Marconi (SuiteLou0819)